What did the Joint Opposition achieve by marching from Kandy
to Colombo? What does it say about the strength
of the Joint Opposition? Does it say anything about the strength or otherwise
of what is being called, tongue-in-cheek, the ‘Official SLFP (Sri Lanka Freedom
Party)’? Has to solidified the alliance
between the OSLFP and the United National Party (UNP)? Was it an exercise poorly timed because the OSLF
and the UNP government has been in power only for a year and a half and as such
there’s little chance of this kind of agitation transforming into a mass
upheaval resulting in regime-overthrow?
Jehan Perera in an article titled ‘Opposition protest march consolidates Government Alliance’ published in the Colombo Telegraph offers
some observations on power. He was
referring to the recently concluded march from Kandy to Colombo organized by
the Joint Opposition.
“Usually
such a bid to generate spontaneous public protest would come towards the end of
a government’s term of office when it has over-extended its stay in power and
the people are dying for a change. But a mere year and a half of a government
which has four more years to go is too soon to evoke a people’s movement to
overthrow, or even to destabilize, the government.”
The first sentence is correct. The second is lends itself to a symptomatic
reading. Whether a march, even one that
drew the kinds of crowds it did, can overthrow or destabilize a government is a
valid question. To say that it has
‘consolidated the government alliance’ is misleading, however.
Let’s consider the facts. Yes, it was organized a mere
year and a half after Maithripala Sirisena became President and less than a
year after the UNP won the General Election.
There are two ways of looking at it.
Jehan says ‘too early’.
True. There’s another way. If such numbers could be drawn to Colombo a
mere year and a half after Maithripala Sirisena became President and less than
a year after the UNP won the General Election it does indicate discontent of a
significant nature. Putting it down to
the ex President’s charisma or the stupidity of his followers will not rob it
of this significance. Loyalties of
protestors, ‘true objectives’ of the organizers, the reasons that drew the
crowds are relevant of course, but in a political sense it is the show of
strength that counts. We are not talking
any more, after all, about the merits and demerits of one regime over another
here.
The march attracted massive numbers. Contrast it, for example, with the ‘marches’
that other Oppositions under different regimes organized at the tail-ends of
terms. This was put all those to
shame. Contrast it, also, with the rally
that the United National Party (UNP) organized at Hyde Park a few months
ago. On that occasion the organizers had
to shift the venue to Lipton Circus fearing that Hyde Park might not be
filled. This time Hyde Park was literally
dug up by the Government, forcing the demonstrators to Lipton Circus. The five roads leading to Lipton Circus were
‘peopled’ to a considerable distance. If
numbers matter, these do.
That numbers matter is in fact confirmed by the response of
the Government to the march. The United
National Party started off with a bold statement, vowing to affirm the
democratic right to protest. Good. It went downhill thereafter. The Government sought support of the courts
on the flimsiest of pretexts, threw obstacles in the way of the march, issued
dire threats of ‘disciplinary action’, threatened to expedite investigations
(obviously against the big names of the Joint Opposition), found a sudden
‘need’ to dig up Hyde Park, indulged in endless rubbishing of the protest, abused
state media especially Rupavahini; in short embarrassed itself at every
turn. Hardly the behavior one might
expect of a confident and secure regime!
The UNP, at least in secret, might say ‘not us, but them,’
with ‘them’ meaning sections of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) loyal to the
President, but that excuse is no longer valid; after all the two parties, their
leaders and the key supporters of the leaders, have reiterated marital vows and
claimed conjugal bliss ad nauseum. In fact, the response, in its entirety was
reminiscent of the ‘dirty tactics’ used by the previous regime and indeed all
regimes that came before. ‘Change’ (‘venasa’) was not evident.
Interestingly, the bleeding-heart advocates of yahapaalanaya who shed buckets of tears
over the abuse of state media by the Rajapaksas, the ‘dirty tricks’ in dealing
with dissent/protests etc., are silent.
Instead we have Jehan (who belongs to the aforementioned group) claiming
that the Government is ‘stronger’.
Fine. Now why should
a ‘strong alliance’ fall over itself to rubbish a ‘weak’ protest which,
according to Jehan, posed absolutely no threat?
Was it a case of old habits dying hard?
Had they not been tutored enough in yahapalana-practice? Had they junked whatever notes were thrust
into their hands when they got into the yahapalana
bandwagon? Did someone whisper,
‘scared out of their wits’ (for no reason at all a la Jehan’s claim)?
It seems that things are not as rosy as Jehan would want
people to believe. And it’s not the
Mahinda loyalists who are saying it.
When someone like Dr Razeen Sally, a respected economist and academic
who now heads the Institute of Policy Studies calls it ‘an unwieldy unity
government’ and mentions bad appointments, messy decision-making, lack of
coordination and above all faults the government for not having a credible
economic plan, talking about political
consolidation is downright silly.
Let’s forget all that.
If anyone thinks the march somehow consolidated the ‘alliance’, then one
must talk of the constituents of that alliance and their relative strengths,
never mind that the ‘point of consolidation’ is at best wishy-washy given the
character certificate issued by Dr Sally.
The UNP is intact but has embarrassed itself by the attacks on the
media, foot-dragging on key election pledges and the about-turn and worse on
Port City. Intact, nevertheless.
And the OSLFP? Well,
they have a party office that is shunned by the membership. There’s an ex-leader who invites incessant booing
by the mere mention of her name. There
are ministers who’ve been rejected at the polls issuing statements about
political power, democracy and what not.
And there’s a leader who broke party lines, divided the party, was
elected by default with the full support of his party’s arch rival, the UNP,
and who whines about Mahinda Rajapaksa ‘diving the party’. Is the section of the SLFP that he has some
control over, the OSLFP, a solid political force? If this
is the case, then the march forcing it to strengthen ties with the UNP would
amount to ‘consolidation’. But the march
clearly showed where the rank and file of the SLFP stands. The louder they OSLFP diehards (and the likes of Jehan)
shout about conjugal bliss and solidity of marriage, the less convincing it all
sounds.
All this is good news, probably, for the Mahinda camp. It has to be bad news for those who truly
believed the January 8 result would usher in a different way of doing
things. The generous thing is to put
down the silence of such people to a sense of shame or helplessness. The unpalatable truth, however, could be that
they were never serious about ‘change’; they just wanted friends in power,
never mind what they do and how they do it.
The verbal contortions that people like Jehan have been forced to
indulge in demonstrate this.
There’s one positive though.
The marchers did not get to undress the yahapaalanists. The yahapaalanists stripped of their own
accord.
A version of this article was published on August 4, 2016 in the Daily Mirror under the title 'The March as a test of Yahapaalanaya'.
Malinda Seneviratne is
a freelance writer. Email: malindasenevi@gmail.com.
Twitter: malindasene. Blog:
malindawords.blogspot.com.
1 comments:
http://tinyurl.com/hirunika-indicted
What more do you want mate???
Isn't this what the Jan-8 people wanted?
Justice for ALL irrespective of social status, right?
Isn't this happening now as we speak?
Nothing like this happened during the time of Maraa. Nothing!!!
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