Showing posts with label Yahapalanaya. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Yahapalanaya. Show all posts

25 November 2019

Gotabaya Rajapaksa can go for ‘Yahapalanaya PLUS’



The term Yahapalanaya came into currency in the run up to the 2015 Presidential Election. It is the Sinhala version of ‘Good Governance’.  Although the term itself was not used, notions such as transparency, accountability and fair representations have been around for a long time.  

Perhaps it is the newness of the term that made it difficult to grasp or rather made for flippant usage. There was very little time between the rise of the term and the election anyway. It wasn’t as though it was the result of an organic process made of lengthy debate across social strata. Its quick demise of course was largely due to the violation of basic tenets by the advocates themselves. 

Yahapalanaya, then, as a brand, has run its course. The idea though persists. Indeed, it is all there in the Buddhist scriptures and even in the Grade 9 Buddhism text book. The problem in application was largely a product of ignorance and disinterest. 

There was ‘good’ and there was ‘governance’. The generous view would be that the yahapalanists really wanted good, decent and honorable people running things. The way things unfolded, however, we have to conclude that ’good’ seems to have been understood less as persons and processes endowed with integrity as ‘on our side.’  ‘Our governance’ would have been closer to the truth with respect to compulsion, but then again that’s not exactly a truth that can be marketed in an election campaign.  

Today, close to five years after that experiment has gone down the tube. The word itself has taken on a cuss-word persona. In retrospect, if one were to break the term down to key constituent elements and assess performance against them, the previous government wouldn’t score well. And yet, we must revive both ‘good’ and ‘governance’ because there is nothing really wrong with those words.

First and foremost, there’s one element of ‘good’ that seems to have been lost on the Yahapalanists: effectiveness. That quality obviously is closely related to ‘governance’. Take it out and you get ‘our people’ and ‘lack of governance’ or even ungovernability.  That gives us a clue to where the newly elected president, Gotabaya Rajapaksa can take the country during his tenure.  

Gotabaya Rajapaksa inherited a mess on all counts. However, the fathers and mothers of that mess do not belong only to the previous regime. Starting from Independence, we’ve had good intention and bad plans.  

We threw the baby out with the bathwater when a post-independence language policy was formulated and implemented. Politics of expedience framed all engagements when it came to communal and religious issues. The public service was first vilified and then nullified by ‘experts’ on development, both foreign (through conditionalities imposed on aid) and local (‘brained’ to toe the line of ‘theorists’ intent on furthering capital interests). Whereas an independent and competent public service was indispensable in nation-building, public servants were made subservient to politicians. Political appointments, rewarding the incompetent, sidelining the best minds and a steady deterioration followed. 

Nationalization was not necessarily a bad idea, but this too was scuttled by politicization. As for constitutional reform, it was marked by tinkering and, once again, political expediency.  It was never about strengthening representation or institutional arrangements with a view to creating a robust state. Successive governments saw it as a tool to further the interests of the particular party or coalition. 

It’s a long list of wrongs which Gotabaya, if he so wishes, has to fix. His political friends are not exactly angels and are no more devilish than those who fall into the category ‘political enemy’. In other words, he has set out to take the country forward in less than ideal conditions. And yet, his initial moves have been quiet, determined and effective.  A doer is how he was described. ‘Work!’ Is what he promised he would do and what he requested that his voters do as well. 

It is not that others before him promised sloth, but the doing has been typically accompanied by frill and brag. Gotabaya in these early days has demonstrated that he is a bit different. One notes that he didn’t claim to be simple, but simple he has been. Quiet he is, but this doesn’t mean that he is silent. One doesn’t have to shout to announce presence and one doesn’t have to scream to get things done.

A good example would be the helmet story that is doing the rounds in social media. For years, certain communities in certain parts of the country essentially gave the proverbial finger to the law in the form of refusing to abide by the requirement for motorcyclists to wear helmets. Immediately after Gotabaya Rajapaksa became President, lo and behold, helmet sales in Kattankudy and Matale are reported to have gone up exponentially.  

Why, though?

Well, one can surmise that his opponents painted him as a brute, a devil, a heartless enforcer. That ‘billa’ if you will has come to haunt people because there is a tendency to believe one’s own propaganda after a while. It is not the best way to get people to abide by the law, but if we focus on effect and little else, we can say ‘it’s a good thing, all things considered’.

In the first week of his presidency Gotabaya Rajapaksa can be said to have set the pace, clearly articulated behavioral expectations and led by example. No frills. No grandiose celebrations. No show of force. Just intent. 

It is not that Gotabaya Rajapaksa wants to abandon everything his brother and former president (and now Prime Minister) Mahinda Rajapaksa stands for. He is clearly in tune with his brother’s brand of nationalism. It has also obvious that he rode to power largely on the immense popularity of his brother. And yet, he is also himself; we have ‘Gota’ as Mahinda’s brother AND himself. It would have been very easy for him to piggyback on the popularity-factor in the matter of post-election consolidation. All he had to do was to wear a kurahan satakaya. He didn’t. He did things his way. Quietly. Without fanfare. 

And yet, there’s something about the kurahan satakaya that is not easily dismissible and not just for reasons of expedience. We know that it is a metaphor amenable to multiple application. It is also, like yahapalanaya, something that has been tarnished due to excesses of all kinds by those associated with it politically (and not so much ideologically and culturally). 

Fourteen years ago, just after Mahinda Rajapaksa was elected president for the first time, I reflected on the kurahan satakaya. The following were my conclusions: 

The kurahan saatakaya is and was essentially defined by what it is not, namely the tie-coat world as one would put it in “Sinhala”. It was the perfect “other” to everything represented by the (adopted) children of the colonial project, the privileges they enjoyed and the elitism they fostered and fought for tooth and nail perhaps never as ferociously as in this election. Still, it was not merely a matter of style, preferred clothing, notions of fashion etc. People can vote for any number of reasons but it would be safe to say that few would have factored in the choice of dress in their decision. It was what these things represented and the extent to which the avowed representation was manifest in program and ideological bent that settled the issue, I believe.

All of the above in one way or another found their way into the rhetoric of the Mahinda Rajapaksa regime. Rhetoric. That’s the word. I was skeptical and over the course of the next 14 years my apprehensions were proven to be justifiable. Back then, however, in that very note I expressed a wish:

If there comes a day where every single institution insists that all employees wear a kurahan saatakaya we would still not have won if they continue to have tie-coat heads. On the other hand, if these institutions continue to insist that employees wear Western attire, replete with tie and coat, but the people inside these clothes have a kurahan saatakaya frame of mind, then the November 17 decision would most certainly have produced something we can be proud of as a nation. I humbly submit that this is not impossible.

This brings us back to yahapalanaya or rather another element which the Yahapalanists missed or were ignorant of or due to world view and ideological preference were so ready to rubbish that there was no way it could have made its way into the yahapalana discourse. They understood ‘good’ in a very narrow way. They understood ‘governance’ as ‘our people being in power, never mind what they do or don’t do’. They did not understand the kurahan satakaya for what it truly represents or ought to have represented. For this they cannot be totally blamed for it was the overriding symbol of a regime they opposed for good, bad and silly reasons.  Nevertheless, if we want yahapalanaya back, it has to be scripted into the politics of the Gotabaya Rajapaksa presidency.

Gotabaya 'wore' the kurahan satayaka during the time he was Secretary, Ministry of Defence and Urban Development. He 'wore' it during the election campaign. He 'wore' it in his swearing-in ceremony. He is 'wearing' it now as he goes about the business of running a country in a period of political transition. He wears it without wearing it. 

It seems, going strictly by what we’ve seen over the last couple of years, i.e. his preparation to contest and the campaign itself, and during his first days as President, that Gotabaya Rajapaksa has a good sense of ‘good,’ and ‘governance’. He has added two things: effectiveness (simple directives that are pragmatic) and a strong and yet not-in-your-face allegiance to the kurahan satakaya in the best sense of the term, i.e. sans the chest-beating nationalism associated with his brother’s term in office and, sadly, in the election campaign of his principal rival, Sajith Premadasa.

Gotabaya Rajapaksa is well poised to deliver Yahapalanaya Plus. At this point, in the immediate aftermath of his victory, it wouldn’t be out of place to wish him the protection of the Noble Triple Gem. 


28 January 2019

Can these politicians make us say ‘thank you for small mercies’?



Major (Rtd) Ajith Niranjan Perera has seen war. He was in the first batch of the Special Forces, set up in 1985 led by Major General (Rtd) G Hettiarachchi, numbering 38 men and two officers. He has fought to ensure the security of the citizenry, safeguard the territorial integrity and continued sovereignty. Naturally, he is not pleased 

We were neighbors growing up and so he is ‘Ajith Ayya’ to me, then and now. I remember Ajith Ayya as a man of action. He didn’t talk much then, and we haven’t talked much in the years that have passed. He called me yesterday (January 22).

Like most people in this country, he doesn’t harbor illusions about politicians. He knows that rhetoric is easy and that delivery mostly non-existent. Again, like most people, he hasn’t retired hope. 

‘If we can get these fellows to agree to four things, I would be happy,’ he said. The nature of his ‘hope’ tells a story about the kind of confidence the people have in their representatives and leaders. In many ways, it was a minimalistic wish, although if implemented we could hope for a better calibre of politician in the future simply because they would eliminate incentives for the crooked to enter politics. 

The ‘four things’: 1) No vehicle permits for parliamentarians, 2) No crossing party line, 3) No pensions, and 4) Each member of Parliament will be answerable to a single electorate. 

The last is about electoral reform. It is about making representation meaningful. It is about giving some credence to the notion of participatory democracy. For almost three decades we have had MPs being forced to think of district and not electorate, for ‘electioneering’ begins the day they are elected. Politicians are about elections, need we labor the point? 

This Government vowed to abolish the pernicious electoral system. That was a huge election promise. That’s what the original 20th Amendment was to be about, namely, correcting the flaws of proportional representation (PR). Now, after selling reform that was in fact a further entrenchment of PR and suffering a humiliating drubbing at the local government elections, the Yahapalanists have all but abandoned the idea. ‘Let’s hold elections under the old system,’ they say, even as they keep postponing provincial council elections. ‘Sure thing,’ the opposition says, knowing (like the ruling party) that if victory is not possible then defeat would not be comprehensive. 

So No 4 is a tough ask at this point. On the other hand, so are the others. Tough asks. And that’s what will test the government and indeed the entire parliament.

Why should politicians receive vehicle permits? They claim they want our votes to serve us. It’s almost as though they are doing it out of the largeness of their hearts. In any case, they are elected for 5 years only. In any case, wherever they go, they have backup vehicles. Wait, they also have official vehicles. Why then can’t they be allocated a decent vehicle for the period they hold office? 

Why should anyone be given a pension for life after doing five years of work (if they work, that is — let’s not forget that they do more harm than good!)? That’s plain silly. If politicians are deemed deserving of a pension after being in office for five years, shouldn’t the principle be applied to everyone else as well? We can have teachers, doctors, clerks, peons, SLAS and SLES officers, diplomats, police officers, military personnel etc., ‘retiring’ after five years and enjoying a pension until they die. 

It’s stupid, plain and simple. Pensions for politicians should be done away with immediately. We could have a referendum on the matter and I grant that the marginal benefit would outweigh the marginal cost in the long run. This side of a referendum, perhaps the Census and Statistics Department could be commission to conduct a survey on public sentiment on this issue. It is quite likely that the vast majority would want the pension scheme for parliamentarians scrapped.

Crossing over has become a remunerative option for politicians, especially given the PR system. No less a personality than President Maithripala Sirisena claimed that the going rate for MPs to cross (or remain!) was Rs 500 million! All this was facilitated by a verdict delivered by Sarath N Silva in the 1990s, preventing political parties from sacking (and thereby unseating) renegades. He determined that the President can, in his or her wisdom, determine that any MP should be given a cabinet portfolio and that in such a situation, the particular party’s power to sack/unseat is rendered ineffective. 

In the best parliamentary traditions, there have been many instances where individual members have taken positions at odds with the party leadership. That’s a conscience-vote. In most cases, the matter is pretty obvious. MPs can vote as they believe fit, regardless of the party’s position. However, in a system where the people first vote for party and then for candidate, the argument can be made that it would be a violation of trust if the particular member went against the party line. That very argument holds against crossing over ‘to the other side’. 

Once again, the Government could (in the interest of salvaging some pride after four years affirming good governance in its breach) commission a survey. The vast majority of respondents would probably say ‘no way.’

At the tail end of its term, this parliament which has disgraced itself unlike any other parliament, can give us a few morsels. Small mercies, if you will.  Something for which we can say ‘thank you, we appreciate!’ Major (Rtd) Ajith Niranjan Perera is, I believe, speaking for the entire population of voters. Let his voice be heard!


16 December 2018

The before and after of the Supreme Court decision


The Supreme Court has ruled. The decision has been announced. Accordingly, the surreptitiously inserted clause allowing the President to dissolve Parliament (in order to circumvent an earlier Supreme Court ruling insisting that a two-thirds majority and a referendum would be necessary for the dissolution clause in the draft 19th Amendment to stand) is meaningless.  



Now we can talk about the before and after.

First the ‘before,’ briefly. We saw in the aftermath of President Sirisena’s sacking of Ranil Wickremesinghe and subsequent dissolution of Parliament, many born-again democrats howling in protest. Few if at all showed any concern about the many anti-democratic acts of the Yahapalana regime as a whole or its constituent parties and relevant leaders, Wickremesinghe and Sirisena included. They did not voice any concern about the sophomoric piece of legislation authored by the UNP and endorsed by 223 members of Parliament (Sarath Weerasekera alone objected). That’s the 19th Amendment, the piece of paper that has spawned the chaos.   

The UNP’s cheering squad is naturally elated. The hurrahs are actually hilarious. Many have claimed that the decision itself shows that Sri Lanka has an independent judiciary. What this means is that had the SC determined otherwise, they would have lamented ‘the lack of judicial independence’.  

Some have called for Sirisena’s resignation because ‘he violated the constitution’. Some believe that the SC decision should automatically catapult Wickremesinghe back into the Prime Minister’s seat. That’s outcome-preference speaking. And that’s what has been spoken by most on both sides of the political divide.  

It has to be remembered, also, that those who came to abolish the executive presidency, through crimes of omission and commission including the flawed 19th Amendment, brought about a situation where the President is the only individual with power.  

Perhaps the most abiding outcome of the SC decision is that law-makers will show more seriousness in future. That would be a very positive outcome.  

That’s the future. Where do we stand right now? Well, the President cannot dissolve Parliament arbitrarily. Parliament itself is at a standstill thanks to the antics of the Parliamentarians, a clearly partisan Speaker, a stubborn President and a court order. We will have to wait and see if the key players in the drama can rise above their personal and political agenda to resolve things.  


What we do know is that no single party has a majority in Parliament. We have the Tamil National Alliance (TNA), officially part of the Opposition with R Sampanthan holding the office of Leader of the Opposition acting in cahoots with the former government, i.e. the pre October 26 disposition led by Ranil Wickremesinghe and Maithripala Sirisena, two individuals who have since parted political ways. We have TNA spokespersons talking of an agreement with Ranil Wickremesinghe. We saw how M.A. Sumanthiran batted for Wickremesinghe and indeed the TNA operating now as Wickremesinghe’s sidekick but as though Wickremesinghe is his (Sumanthiran’s) sidekick.  

Whether or not there’s an agreement between the UNP and the TNA needs to be disclosed by either or both parties and if there is, then its substance must be made public. Let’s wait on that. 

We have a claimant to power (the UNP) that’s terrified of going before the people. Their legitimacy was questioned when the party was routed at the local government elections.  Their legality is hanging by a judicial thread, so to speak. We have their track-record over almost four years, part tied to Sirisena but part a brief they have to defend on their own. This includes the bond scam, mismanagement of the economy, absolute incompetence on all counts, shameless bartering of the country’s sovereignty, clearly partisan constitutional tinkering (19th Amendment) and underwhelming work on the reconciliation front.  

We have the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) with much stronger legitimacy claim courtesy the February 2018 election result but a legality that is under a shadow and dependent on the President’s whims. We have a President whose legitimacy is horrendously compromised and whose legality might come under threat if UNP-noises regarding impeachment turn into concrete action. 

And there’s the people. They are not a monolith of course. Any keen observer on the political ferment following the sacking of Wickremesinghe would have noted that the objectors were essentially diehard UNP loyalists or else those who benefited from the Yahapalana regime.  There was no groundswell of support for the UNP.  The ‘massive protests’ called never converted into mass support for the UNP, its leader or its political position.  This is not to say that everyone who didn’t add voice to shout condoned the President’s actions of course. Many would have found it all unpalatable, but at the same time few had taste for what the UNP has dished out.  

If, as the greens have argued, the people were horrified by Sirisena’s moves and were appalled by the unexpected elevation of Mahinda Rajapaksa, why did it not translate into mass protests? Those who take the trouble to talk to a cross section of the polity would conclude the following: a) they found the recent political developments distasteful, b) they weren’t too unhappy about Wickremesinghe being ousted, c) they found the behavior of parliamentarians disgusting, d) they want an opportunity to express their sentiments on all things, e) they are willing to go along with the SC determination, and f) they are waiting for the case to be brought to them for judgment.

The problem is that the greens talk and have talked for years in echo chambers. When they say ‘everyone’ they are really referring to ‘everyone they speak with’ and that’s essentially ‘other members of the club’.  

The more serious issue is that the vast majority appear to be nonchalant regarding the machinations in Colombo. They don’t really lose any sleep over constitutional matters, the executive powers vested in the office of the president or judicial processes. That’s not apathy, as some might claim. That’s judicious decision. The institutional arrangement has essentially operated in a way that public views are immaterial. The public seems to have returned the perceptional favor, even though the state is in their face and enters their homes in multiple ways. This mismatch has not really troubled lawmakers. Indeed they thrive on it. 

There are other interesting developments. We’ve not had any talk of devolution in months. In fact the postponement of provincial council elections has raised not a hair of protest from the people. Those whose agitation was loudest, namely the TNA and the devolution-touting sections of the NGO community appear to have forgotten the word. And yet, the provincial councils, sans representatives, do operate (as did the local government bodies in the years when they were decreed to sleep by the election-fearing Yahapalana Government) courtesy of the administrative structure. It’s as though the 13th Amendment has been dumped. We might as well lay it to rest with a decent funeral if necessary.

Indeed, the absence of politicians has not really hampered the day-to-day operations of ministries and state run institutions. Sure, we need Parliament to pass laws and budgets, but state officials have risen to the occasion and proved that they can get things done as well or better as they did when politicians interfered in their work.  

People involved and who talk about doing the decent thing should indulge in deep self-reflection.  Jayampathy Wickremaratne and Ranil Wickremesinghe, most of all, should reflect on their absolute incompetence and political chicanery with respect to the 19th Amendment.  Yes, they won’t.  Politicians are not made that way.  

The UNP cheering squad, going by statements issued by party leaders and born-again democracy lovers, seems to believe that the SC decision was only a first step. They are correct. They believe that the last step would be the reinstatement of Wickremesinghe as Prime Minister.  That shows their limit and moreover demonstrates once again how utterly divorced the party and its loyalists are from the masses. The party is not democratic (if you believe otherwise, read the party constitution). The party does not operate democratically. The party has always put party interest ahead of national interest (check all the amendments to the constitution).  

It is easy for loyalists to play the game of relative merits with liberal doses of selectivity and convince themselves that Wickremesinghe is the best. If that’s the extent of vision, it would explain why this entire drama was people-less as far as the UNP is concerned. 

In the ‘long way to go’, whether they like it or not, there will be non-loyalists. The UNP can wish them away at cost; factor them in and the party may have a chance at a future election. As of now, the party leadership does not seem inclined to trust ‘the people’, using the term only for political convenience.  

The people. They’ve been quiet. That could be ominous and not just for the UNP.  

RELATED ARTICLES



malindasenevi@gmail.com. www.malindawords.blogspot.com

11 November 2018

Who the *&%# is Maithripala Sirisena, huh?


Maithripala. Maithripala Sirisena. Pallewatte Gamaralalage Maithripala Yapa Sirisena. President. Executive President. A man who has the distinction of going against an  incumbent considered to be unbeatable, Mahinda Rajapaksa, and defeating him for the presidency in January 2015. Enough to warrant some kind of special mention in history. His story is not yet over, but if it were to end today, that’s about it. Nothing more.  


He is, undoubtedly, the man of the moment, but not for reasons that elicit loud and wild applause. Let’s first deal with the trivial and then move to the more serious implications of his presidency and in particular his recent move with respect to the sacking and appointments of Prime Ministers.

Maithripala appears to be a glutton for abuse from all quarters. He earned the wrath of the diehard loyalists of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) when he broke ranks and joined the party’s arch enemy, the United National Party (UNP). He was welcomed with open arms for obvious reasons — the UNP had neither held the presidency nor backed a winner in more than twenty years. 

At the time, pro-UNP political analysts tried to make people believe that Maithripala would be a figurehead President, despite the constitutional provisions that rebel against such notions. The naive among the more sober believed that Maithripala would move to abolish his own office. The less naive thought that the 19th Amendment would contain provisions to turn their dream scenario into reality — a constitution-determined figurehead president and a Prime Minister with executive sway.  We know what happened and what did not.

Naturally, the Rajapaksa camp did not miss a single opportunity to criticize Maithripala. It was not just criticism of course. There was excessive ridicule at his glaring errors of omission and commission.  Some were thoughtful enough to tag Ranil Wickremesinghe and the UNP to such censure, most did not. 

Maithripala’s language use was parodied, first by the Rajapaksa loyalists and later by UNPers increasingly frustrated by the simple fact that they had read him wrong, read the political process wrong and were clueless about the constitution.  His humble beginnings were alluded to. The ‘gamarala’ part of his name was laughed at. His English language incompetency was mercilessly parodied in what Gehan Gunatilleke calls ‘The Puswedilla Franchise’ which he likened to ‘a dose of morphine offering the audience a coping mechanism.’

Hafeel Farisz in a review titled ‘The politics of Puswedilla’ lays it out in this way:

‘It [Puswedilla] boiled down to mimicking a system that we have either confused ourselves about or ridiculing a system that those in Colombo love to loathe. ‘Yakkos’ governing the country is not something that many have been used to prior to the incumbent regime assuming power.’

And he elaborates: ‘The Premadasa era is often used as a case point to negate this argument, but fact remains that even during that era, the institutional mechanisms had not felt the social ‘turnaround’ as it has now. It is in this context that the writer seems to be making hay, through Pusswedilla, catering to an audience that largely comprises a population segment that is becoming negligible in the larger political schism of Sri Lanka.’

Puswedilla elicits laughter, perhaps for the clever jokes but perhaps the appreciation is born of the need to cope. After all, there are people who think Sri Lanka is Colombo and that its theirs to govern by birthright. Or something like that. No place for yakkos, godayas, gamaralas and country bumpkins. Both were writing in 2014, a time when ‘Puswedilla’ focused on the Rajapaksas. When ‘the unbelievable’ happened, i.e. when Maithripala was found to have a mind of his own, the invective was simply directed at him. It was in fact targeting neither Rajapaksa nor Maithripala but the cultural ‘other’, those who are not seen as born-bred ‘Colombo People’ and were seen as culturally inferior because they were not fluent in English.   

Well, it’s got worse. Maithripala has kicked the UNP in its proverbial teeth and worse, decided to bed with the arch enemy, the Rajapaksas. If UNPers were first amused, then worried, later anxious and confused, later still dismayed, they are now positively livid. They (and this includes senior and seasoned politicians like Mangala Samaraweera but not Ranil Wickremesinghe) have not minced their words. 

Maithripala is therefore a politician who is grudgingly loved, first by the UNP and now by the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) and absolutely hated, first by Rajapaksa loyalists (who later morphed into the SLPP) and now by UNPers.

Back in the day whenever Maithripala did the foot-in-mouth number, the Rajapaksa loyalist guffawed, Ranil’s backers were silent for the most part. Today it’s the other way about. All of a sudden UNP loyalists have discovered that he’s homophobic. All of a sudden he’s violating the basic norms of democracy. 

[Note, they were quiet when he spat on parliamentary arithmetic to appoint Ranil as Prime Minister on January 9, 2015, when he opened the national-list back door to allow people rejected at the polls to enter parliament and of course they were thrilled when he, along with Ranil, dissolved Parliament on the very day that the COPE report on the Central Bank bond scam was to be made public!  All of a sudden he’s the villain.]

Whereas the legality of premiership claims (Mahinda Rajapaksa’s and Ranil Wickremesinghe’s) are contentious, that of Sirisena is not. When it comes to legitimacy, clearly the UNP and Sirisena (plus his SLFP) are also rans compared to Rajapaksa and the SLPP, if we go by the most recent election results. 

On February 10, 2018, the SLPP demolished both the UNP and the SLFP.  The UNP’s vote share fell from 45.7% in August 2015 to 32.63% or more than 13 percentage points.  So, following an argument put forward by Mangala Samaraweera at the time (he claimed that more than half the population had rejected Rajapaksa), we can say that 77.37% rejected the UNP and 86.62% have rejected Maithripala Sirisena and the SLFP/UPFA. The SLPPsecured power in 239 local government bodies whereas the UNP got just 41 and the SLFP/UPFA led by Maithripala a humbling 10.The parliamentary composition does not reflect this nation-wide reality and that is partly why we have this present crisis (quite apart from the power aspirations of the key players).

The UNP now claims that Maithripala’s legitimacy draws from the support he received from the UNP in January 2015 and after the political divorce, he no longer has the legitimacy. Correct. Maithripala, it appears, picked the best option: he abandoned the illegitimate elephant-rail and clung to the far more legitimate saatakaya, to put it metaphorically.  

Maithripala’s future is bleak. He’s now a prisoner of the SLPP and he probably will not have any decent cards to play after the next election.  He has the power of the office and as the UNP learned to their dismay, it is considerable.  

He demonstrated in no uncertain terms that without any political legitimacy to speak of he can still wreck the political equation. He demonstrated that the 19th Amendment was a sham. The UNP cannot complain because it was that party which authored the document. The Rajapaksa camp went along and we do not know whether Mahinda was aware of the flaws and if he did whether he planned to exploit them at the right time. What counts is that it is flawed. 

If D.B. Wijetunga was a man who happened to be at the right place at the right time, it appears that Maithripala is a man who knew how to get to the right place at the right time.  Some in the UNP may have taken him to be harmless or even a fool, but it’s clear that two can play that game and that Maithripala has come out ahead, as of now. 

How will history judge Maithripala? Let us not be hasty, but let us just say that as of now, even as Rajapaksa loyalists are painting him in kind and appreciative colors, he’s not looking too good.

Malinda Seneviratne is a political analyst and freelance writer. malindasenevi@gmail.com. www.malindawords.blogspot.com

08 November 2018

Hypocrisy in the name of Democracy


‘I’M NOT HERE FOR RANIL, I’M HERE FOR DEMOCRACY AND GOOD GOVERNANCE.’ This was a poster or rather sentiments that appeared to be popular at the demonstration in Kollupitiya last week following President Maithripala Sirisena’s decision to sack Ranil Wickremesinghe and appoint Mahinda Rajapaksa as Prime Minister. 

Really? Really, really????

One of the better definitions of democracy is that it refers to ‘a government in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised by them directly or indirectly through a system of representation usually involving periodically held free elections.’ And yet, this definition does not speak to the political economy in which the democratic process unfolds. For example, we know that people have to vote only for those who actually contest, and candidacy is not a squeaky clean matter. Only a certain kind of person can contest or rather only a certain kind of person has a good chance of winning. There are exceptions, but this is the rule.  

Different countries have different systems where representation is obtained. The United States of America, for example, selects rather than elects her Presidents. There are other realities which rebel against the fundamental tenets of a sound democratic process best exemplified by the outright robbery that took place in the 2000 US Presidential Election. Malcolm X saw this early. Well, it was not a secret as far as African Americans and other non-white peoples in that country were concerned. Malcolm X didn’t mince his words: ‘This is American democracy and those of you who are familiar with it know that in American democracy is hypocrisy.’

More caustic was the following observation which factored in the reality of an uneven, unequal and unjust polity: ‘democracy is an exercise in which the majority of people choose the sauce with which they are to be eaten.’

Nevertheless, ’democracy’ is the word in the streets. To put it more accurately, ‘democracy is the word in the Opposition Street.’ Democracy does not begin when parliament is dissolved and does not end when results are announced. However, since it’s representation through elections that’s being talked of it is good to think about how democracy has been played (and ignored) over the years.

When the first post-Independence elections were held, the Father of the Nation, so-called, stood at the ballot box with a club in hand ‘to protect democracy’.  Intimidation, tampering with ballot-boxes and such became part of the story thereafter. And yet on that occasion and thereafter whenever democracy came under threat or was subverted, the beneficiaries and their loyalists were quiet for the most part. Many have to say ‘sorry’. Indeed it would be possible to come up with a list of the ‘sorrowful’ IF remorse was part of their civic make-up.

Here’s a list, incomplete of course, but let’s call it a collective apology without thinking too much about whether or not the apologetic are still around. [Note: for reasons of space, we will not detail abuse that’s common such as intimidation of voters, violence against opponents, misuse of state resources etc., and we shall leave out the 'squeaky clean' gurus of Democracy and Decency in the International Community who are no different from the kinds of people mentioned below. We will not talk of those for whom extrajudicial killing of thousands upon thousands in the eighties was ok. We will not talk of those for whom similar excesses in the North and East during the war against terrorism was ok. We won’t talk of those who uttered not a word when the LTTE blew up buses, trains and carried out suicide attacks on civilians].

‘Those of us who knew of D.S. Senanayake’s strange notions of democracy and were silent…

‘Those of us who were silent when Mrs Sirimavo Bandaranaike abused parliamentary numbers and constitutional provisions in 1975 to extend the life of Parliament by two years...

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when J.R. Jayewardene and the United National Party promulgated the Second Republican Constitution in 1978 which is widely recognized as being responsible for much of the democratic deficits on account of which there’s been much suffering.... 

'Those of us who were silence, on account of political loyalty, over the skullduggery and horrendous violation of basic democratic principles in the Referendum and Presidential Election of 1982...

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the Constitution was amended no less than 16 times during the J.R. Jayewardena years, mostly for partisan reasons, including the 13th Amendment that gave credence to Eelamist myth-modeling among other tragedies… 

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) warned that the first person who dared vote at each polling station in the various elections held in 1988 and 1989 would be shot dead and did in fact shoot hundreds…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the Chandrika Kumaratunga regime orchestrated a move to get Chief Justice Sarath N Silva to facilitate crossovers in Parliament… 

‘Those of us who were silent when a group of Parliamentarians crossed over to the UNP in 2001, thereby tilting numbers against the elected government…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, regarding the flaws of the well-intentioned 17th Amendment in 2001…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the United National Front (UNF) Government of Ranil Wickremesinghe, with the support of President Kumaratunga, bypassed Parliament and the people to sign an agreement with the LTTE in February 2001…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, President Kumaratunga took over three key ministries and thereby scuttled the UNF Government in 2003…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when Mahinda Rajapaksa introduced and got Parliament to pass the patently anti-democracy 18th Amendment in September 2010…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, in all party elections under constitutions that favored the particular leader, especially that of the United National Party…

‘Those of us who were silent Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when President Sirisena appointed Ranil Wickremesinghe as Prime Minister in January 2015 when, at that time, he commanded a parliamentary strength of only a little over 40…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when parliamentarians of the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) expressed support to the Yahapalana Government, again in January 2015…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the Yahapalana Government Sirisena and Wickremesinghe in April 2015 promulgated the horrendously flawed 19th Amendment and especially the deliberately vaguely-worded term ‘National Government’ which is at the heart of the current political and constitutional imbroglio… 

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when the Yahapalana Government dissolved Parliament in June 2015 to stop the damning COPE report on the Central Bank bond scam was to be presented to Parliament…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when President Sirisena arbitrarily sacked the Secretaries of the SLFP and the United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA), appointed loyalists in their place and effectively crucified the relevant Central Committees through a court order days before the General Election in 2015…

‘Those of us who were silent, on account of political loyalty, when President Sirisena arbitrarily sacked Ranil Wickremesinghe and appointed Mahinda Rajapaksa as Prime Minister on October 26, 2018…

‘Those of us who were silent when Ranil Wickremesinghe (on behalf of the UNP) and Maithripala Sirisena (on behalf of the SLFP) postponed local government elections and provincial council elections…

‘All of us, without exception, individually and collectively, are sorry. Sorry, democracy, we have abused your name, we have ranted and raved about you being violated only when we found ourselves at the receiving end of villainy and were silent and indeed not averse to cheering when such violence benefited the camps we belonged to or supported.’ 

Perhaps every single citizen who has voiced objections in the name of democracy and good governance selectively, can converge on Galle Face Green one of these days, each carrying a placard with the following legend: ‘I ONLY SAY “I’M HERE FOR DEMOCRACY AND GOOD GOVERNANCE, BUT I AM REALLY HERE FOR <add name of preferred politician or political party>’.  

Bottom line, if you are serious about democracy, you just cannot be a hypocrite, you cannot be selective. It just sounds stupid. 

30 September 2018

On the Yahapalana Economists, lightly


Dr Harsha De Silva, Economic Affairs State Minister, has always been in awe of Ranil Wickremesinghe, the leader of his party and the Prime Minister of Sri Lanka. He’s not alone in this. There are many who believed that Wickremesinghe was the only senior politician with his head screwed on right. 

[Well, ‘right-wing’ could be the subtext there, but then again he’s not been shy about his ideological preferences. We could add that the ‘left’ or what’s left of it is pretty ‘right’ too, in the wing-sense of the term.]

Let’s leave aside parentheses. Let’s focus on the economy, of which Wickremesinghe was made out to be an expert.  A good manager, we were told. A brilliant mind, we were told. Uncorrupt and would not tolerate corruption, we were told. We were told a lot of things. ‘Thanikara molayak’ we were told: a brain, nothing else. Let’s not go into the incorruptibility claim; let’s pass over all that with a single word, ‘bonds!’ 

Well, the approver, that’s Harsha, made an interesting plea just the other day. He wants the country’s upper middle class ‘to act with some social consciousness to help the government offset the impact of the depreciation of the Sri Lankan currency.’ He wants the ‘high income people’ to demonstrate some ‘social consciousness’ and offers some tips: postpone by just a couple of months that new luxury car or that trip to Alaska. These, he believes, could help cut the demand at the margin.

I don’t know where the middle class is located; I don’t know what kind of lines separate it from the lower class and the upper class. I don’t know, therefore, what lines frame the ‘upper middle class’. I don’t know if Alaska is a great tourist destination. A 7-day tour costs something like US$ 3,000 per person. Assuming a family of 4, i.e. of the punchi-pawla-raththaran size, that would be 12,000 US dollars. That would be around Rs 2 million and if you add airfare probably in the region of 3 million rupees. I don’t know what kind of income earning avenues allow for that kind of bucks to be spent on an Alaskan holiday. I don’t know the size of the ‘upper middle class’. Perhaps Harsha could tell us because it would indicate what kind of society we live in and of course tell us something of the wealth distribution.  

In any case, I am perplexed that someone like Harsha, who swears by capitalism, should talk of ‘social responsibility’. Why on earth should anyone think of ‘society’? It’s all about self-interest, isn’t it? Sure, we have CSR projects, but that’s brand-building and a palliative for a non-existent disease, corporate guilt. The upper classes are not into belt-tightening; they pass tax burdens on to the consumer, even as they lament such mechanisms. 

Let’s concede however that it’s actually in the interest of the rich to be socially conscious, to tighten best and embrace ‘austerity measures’ that force them to go to Anawilundawa instead of Alaska and take tuk-tuks for a change. Let’s say that it’s just a minor part of a major plan that Harsha and other economists in the UNP have hatched to save the falling rupee. 

The boss has laid it out. Wickremesinghe, speaking at a school in Nattandiya has said, correctly, that Sri Lanka needs to handle the devaluation crisis with utmost care. He says that Sri Lanka cannot increase interest rates as other countries have done because it would affect investments. Didn’t know that we had lots and lots of investors, but then again let’s just concede that we need to insure against investor-flight. 

What’s interesting is that the PM has stated that action will be taken to arrest the crisis in one month’s time, vowing that the government will not allow the economy to crash. What the ‘action’ is he has not detailed, but he’s given us a hint in the following observation:

‘The situation is expected to be more stable [by] then,’ that’s one month from now. If there’s stability then there’s no need of any ‘action’ one would think. It’s all volatile and that’s not his fault, of course.  However, the conviction he’s expressed regarding ability to prevent a crash sounds dubious when he also says ‘we do not know what will happen in the future with the trade wars which the USA had got into with Canada and China’.

Now all these are random statements made in forums not necessarily discussing the nuts and bolts of managing an economy, but they do indicate anxiety and confusion. The more disturbing matter is that this UNP-led government is clueless about the global economy.  

Dr W.A. Wijewardena, former Deputy Governor of the Central Bank has written extensively on how incompetent the government has been. Clueless, really. For example, taxing savings, any AL student would tell you, is a disincentive to save. Perhaps Harsha could detail the logic of that particular decision. 

That’s ‘local’. The understanding of the global, i.e. larger destructive processes which countries like Sri Lanka are ill-equipped to face, is as or more disturbing. Wickremesinghe didn’t seem to know that China exists, or rather, he had discounted China’s pivotal position in the global economy until ‘Brexit’ hit him between his eyes. Up until then he was badmouthing China. It took ‘Brexit’ to make him realize that the West won’t and indeed cannot help Sri Lanka. He said ‘We will look East’. Clearly, he must have been looking in some other direction.  

Sorry, but we can’t say kohomada tikiri mole to that. Even if one believes that model to prosperity peddled by the IMF, World Bank, the USAID and their preferred ‘economic experts,’ this kind of ignorance is unpardonable. 

I don’t know about the upper middle class, but I doubt that even the upper class (do they go to the moon on vacation and are they planning to buy rockets, I wonder?) must doubt the UNP’s claims to having a handle on things economic. 

The lower classes, i.e. the middle-middle and lower according to the 'Harsha De Silva Classification', do not have any doubts and if you have doubts, ask a cross section. Ask them what they think of Ranil or the UNP or this Yahapalana Government when it comes to sorting out economic problems. You would probably get an earful. On second thoughts, maybe you will not. Just two words, be it in English or Sinhala. No prizes for the correct guess.

Malinda Seneviratne is a freelance writer. malindasenevi@gmail.comwww.malindawords.blogspot.com.